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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Osauna logo

Leganes
1 - 1
Osasuna

Raba (87' pen.)
Neyou (55'), Rosier (61'), Raba (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herrando (49')
Oroz (45+1'), Moncayola (72'), Bretones (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Leganes
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Leganes 1-1 Osasuna

Osasuna are the draw specialists in Spain's top flight, and we can see another stalemate here. Neither side are winning matches at the moment, but Osasuna have one of the worst away records in the division, so we are expecting Leganes to be good enough for at least a point despite their own struggles during the 2024-25 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LeganesDrawOsasuna
38.76% (0.381 0.38) 26.62% (0.02 0.02) 34.61% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (-0.126 -0.13)52.94% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (-0.108 -0.11)74.55% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.15499999999999 0.15)26.66% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.203 0.2)61.9% (-0.202 -0.2)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.312 -0.31)29.11% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.387 -0.39)65.03% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Leganes 38.75%
    Osasuna 34.61%
    Draw 26.62%
LeganesDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.75%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.61%

How you voted: Leganes vs Osasuna

Leganes
49.4%
Draw
30.6%
Osasuna
20.0%
85
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 1
Osasuna
1-1
Leganes
Soriano (79' og.)
Cruz (74'), Herrando (82'), Moncayola (89')
Cruz (22')
Rosier (31'), Soriano (61')
Jun 27, 2020 6.30pm
Aug 17, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 1
Leganes
0-1
Osasuna

Recio (73')
Oscar (93')
Avila (75')
Torres (17'), Avila (35'), Ibanez (45'), Moncayola (65')
Apr 9, 2017 5.30pm
Osasuna
2-1
Leganes
Leon (36' pen., 71')
Fausto (24'), Olavide (60'), Causic (64')
Siovas (16')
Rico (13'), Appelt Pires (34'), Tito (36'), Moran (93')
Nov 21, 2016 7.45pm
Leganes
2-0
Osasuna
Ibanez (6', 57')
Rico (32'), Bustinza (62')

Garcia Zubiria (43'), Riviere (55'), Olavide (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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