La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 7, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
1 - 1
Osasuna

Raba (87' pen.)
Neyou (55'), Rosier (61'), Raba (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torro (40'), Herrando (49')
Oroz (45+1'), Moncayola (72'), Bretones (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Leganes
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Osasuna
38.76% ( 0.38)	26.62% ( 0.02)	34.61% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

-0.13)

52.94% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

-0.11)

74.55% (

0.11)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

0.15)

26.66% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

0.2)

61.9% (

-0.2)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.31)

29.11% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.39)

65.03% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Leganes 38.75%

Osasuna 34.61%

Draw 26.62%

Leganes	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.75%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.61%