Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 38.82% ( | 30.12% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.52% ( | 84.48% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( | 33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.41% ( | 69.58% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( | 38.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.89% ( | 75.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0-0 @ 12.65% ( 2-2 @ 3.57% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.05% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
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