Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
| 41.68% ( | 27.65% ( | 30.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% ( | 57.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( | 78.52% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( | 27.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( | 62.77% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( | 34.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( | 70.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.67% |