La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 2, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna3 - 3Valencia
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Valencia
There has only been one league draw between these two sides since January 2021, but that occurred earlier this season at Mestalla - it would not be a shock to see either win this clash, but Valencia's away struggles would make a point a positive result, and we are expecting Los Che to be good enough for a draw on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
41.68% ( -0.28) | 27.65% ( -0.02) | 30.67% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
