Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
| 36.7% ( | 28.59% ( | 34.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.58% ( | 60.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.45% ( | 80.55% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( | 31.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.1% ( | 67.9% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.63% ( | 69.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
| 2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 56 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 48 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Getafe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Leganes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | AlavesAlaves | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 16 |
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