Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia | 
| 36.7% (  -0.11) | 28.59% (  0.04) | 34.71% (  0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 46.02% (  -0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.58% (  -0.13) | 60.42% (  0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.45% (  -0.1) | 80.55% (  0.1) | 
| Osasuna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.49% (  -0.14) | 31.51% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.1% (  -0.16) | 67.9% (  0.16) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.19% (  -0.02) | 32.81% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.63% (  -0.02) | 69.37% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia | 
| 1-0 @ 11.93% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.89% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.96% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 13.3% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 10.33% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 4.28% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.52% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 6.42% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 2.76% (  -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.7% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 | 
| 2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 56 | 
| 3 | Real Madrid | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 54 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 48 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 44 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 | 
| 8 | Mallorca | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 36 | 
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 34 | 
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 33 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 33 | 
| 13 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 | 
| 14 | Getafe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 | 
| 16 | Leganes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 27 | 
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 | 
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 | 
| 19 | AlavesAlaves | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 23 | 
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 16 | 
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