

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Osasuna |
| 48.55% ( | 26.55% ( | 24.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% ( | 56.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( | 77.64% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.62% ( | 57.39% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.91% ( | 75.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.54% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 24.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
| 2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 56 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 48 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Getafe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Leganes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | AlavesAlaves | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 16 |
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