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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2025 at 12am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Inter Miami

Houston
1 - 4
Inter Miami

Lodeiro (85')
Ibrahim (27'), Awodesu (59')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Segovia (6', 45+2'), Allende (37'), Suarez (79')
Bright (15'), Redondo (73'), Redondo (73'), Cremaschi (90+4'), Alba (90+5'), Afonso (90+2'), Afonso (90+3')
Fray (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-2 Dallas
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Kansas
Wednesday, February 26 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Inter Miami

When all looks lost, Inter Miami always seems to find a way, and that should give them a psychological advantage over a Houston side that were their own worst enemy on matchday one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawInter Miami
46.71% (-0.68 -0.68) 24.79% (0.242 0.24) 28.5% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.482 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-0.78 -0.78)47.36% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-0.727 -0.73)69.57% (0.72499999999999 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (-0.601 -0.6)20.33% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-0.967 -0.97)52.72% (0.966 0.97)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)30.42% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)66.63% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 46.71%
    Inter Miami 28.5%
    Draw 24.78%
Houston DynamoDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.5%

How you voted: Houston vs Inter Miami

Houston Dynamo
0.0%
Draw
11.5%
Inter Miami
88.5%
26
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 1.30am
Final
Inter Miami
1-2
Houston
Martinez (90+1')
Krivtsov (16'), Allen (19'), Yedlin (32')
Dorsey (24'), Bassi (33' pen.)
Escobar (12')
Apr 23, 2023 1.30am
Apr 3, 2022 2.55am
Inter Miami
1-3
Houston
Higuain (66' pen.)
Quintero (49'), Picault (57' pen., 90+3')
Oct 10, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 16
Inter Miami
1-0
Houston
Morgan (57' pen.)

Quintero (37')
Apr 11, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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