MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 00:02:22| >> :120:17850:17850:
South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
Mozambique national football team

South Africa
0 - 1
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's COSAFA Cup clash between South Africa and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Benin 0-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Mozambique
Tuesday, March 25 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique

South African football has been on the rise over the last two years, with the team finishing third at the last Africa Cup of Nations, which saw them break into the top 10 nations from the CAF region according to FIFA rankings. Bafana Bafana are also unbeaten in their last 15 home matches across all competitions, and we feel they will extend that record with a victory in this COSAFA Cup tournament opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw has a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mozambique has a probability of 10.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.42%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Mozambique win it is 0-1 (4.88%).

Result
South AfricaDrawMozambique
69.16% (0.43300000000001 0.43) 20.62% (-0.419 -0.42) 10.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 36.26% (0.96700000000001 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (1.402 1.4)56.01% (-1.401 -1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (1.126 1.13)77.1% (-1.125 -1.13)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.61500000000001 0.62)15.28% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (1.14 1.14)43.99% (-1.14 -1.14)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.8% (0.836 0.84)57.2% (-0.836 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.85% (0.46 0.46)89.15% (-0.459 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 69.15%
    Mozambique 10.22%
    Draw 20.62%
South AfricaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 16.42% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-0 @ 15.42% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 9.66% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 4.53% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.14 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.7% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 69.15%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.483 -0.48)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.56% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.22%

How you voted: South Africa vs Mozambique

South Africa
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Mozambique
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
1-1
Mozambique
Wayne Dortley (39')
Brendon Moloisane (84')
Labarina Alfandega (65')
Domingos (54'), Dario (74')
Nov 17, 2022 6.30pm
International Friendly
South Africa
2-1
Mozambique
Hlongwane (57', 60')
Jul 13, 2022 4pm
Quarter-Finals
South Africa
0-0
Mozambique
(Aggregate 0-0 | Mozambique win 5-4 on penalties)
Johannes (40'), Msane (73')
Telinho (34'), Momade (83')
Jul 16, 2021 4pm
Semi-Finals
South Africa
3-0
Mozambique
Ngcobo (24'), Yusuf Maart (59'), Victor Letsoalo (73' pen.)
Sithebe (38'), Ngcobo (62')

Macaime Junior (33'), M. Nangy (45+1'), Muze (58'), J. Pelembe (79'), Ernesto (86')
Jan 11, 2014 4pm
Group Stage
South Africa
3-1
Mozambique
Parker (30' pen., 82'), Kekana (58')
Diogo (11')
Miro (52')
rhs 2.0
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