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Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto

Mozambique
1 - 1
Eswatini

Ratifo (74')
Miguel Neves Santos (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mavuso (80')
Mkhonta (21'), Simiso Manana (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawEswatini
45.59% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)28.69% (0.029 0.03)25.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 42.3% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.67% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)63.33% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.29% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)82.7% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)27.87% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.073 -0.07)63.48% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)41.35% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)77.87% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 45.58%
    Eswatini 25.72%
    Draw 28.68%
MozambiqueDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 14.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 25.72%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Eswatini

Mozambique
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Eswatini
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jun 29, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Mozambique
0-0
Eswatini
Domingos (90+2')
Manyisa (45+1'), Owa Matsebula (66'), Thwala (87')
May 24, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Mozambique
0-1
Eswatini
Jul 18, 2021 11am
Third-Place Playoff
Eswatini
1-1
Mozambique
(Aggregate 1-1 | Mozambique win 4-2 on penalties)
Martinho (39')
Candinho (70'), Muze (80'), Shaquille (88')
Mkhontfo (89')
Magagula (42')