World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 1pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Mozambique3 - 1Uganda
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Uganda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Uganda |
29.71% ( 0) | 29.39% ( 0) | 40.9% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
