Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stade de la Reunification

Uganda
0 - 2
South Africa

Lwanga (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morena (49'), Maswanganyi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
Uganda	Draw	South Africa
28.24% ( 0.08)	27.84% ( 0.04)	43.92% ( -0.12)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Uganda	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.24%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.91%