Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations

Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
South Sudan national football team

Uganda
1 - 0
South Sudan

Mugabi (47')
Aucho (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomas Magor Abdo Gaber (44'), Okocha (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 2-0 Congo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 South Africa
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result
UgandaDrawSouth Sudan
60.13% (-0.271 -0.27)23.6% (0.187 0.19)16.27% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (-0.549 -0.55)55.29% (0.548 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (-0.454 -0.45)76.51% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.301 -0.3)18.12% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.514 -0.51)49.07% (0.512 0.51)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07% (-0.218 -0.22)46.93% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.56% (-0.168 -0.17)82.43% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 60.13%
    South Sudan 16.27%
    Draw 23.59%
UgandaDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 14.52% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 12.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 16.27%

How you voted: Uganda vs South Sudan

Uganda
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
South Sudan
3.4%
29
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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