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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Congo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
South Sudan national football team

Congo
1 - 0
South Sudan

Massanga (12')
Dembi (66'), Passi (90+2'), Mafoumbi (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

America Jawa Mara (30'), Wahab Thiago Ajuman (33'), Obede Morgan (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions
Last Game: Congo 0-6 Morocco
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 0-3 Sudan
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Congo 2-0 South Sudan

 Off the back of a humiliating defeat against Egypt, Congo will head into Thursday's clash looking to restore some pride and get their AFCON qualifying journey off on the front foot. While both nations are on a run of six consecutive games without a win, we are backing Ngata's men to come away with all three points in front of their supporters at the Stade Alphonse Massemba-Debat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Congo had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Congo would win this match.

Result
CongoDrawSouth Sudan
35.16% (-1.055 -1.06) 27.06% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 37.78% (0.975 0.98)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (-0.362 -0.36)54.65% (0.358 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (-0.3 -0.3)75.98% (0.298 0.3)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.827 -0.83)29.6% (0.825 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-1.017 -1.02)65.64% (1.015 1.02)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.399 0.4)28.02% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.506 0.51)63.67% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Congo 35.15%
    South Sudan 37.78%
    Draw 27.05%
CongoDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.241 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Congo vs South Sudan

Congo
72.2%
Draw
22.2%
South Sudan
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
South Sudan
0-1
Congo
Charpentier (90')
Mar 23, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Congo
1-2
South Sudan
Bifouma (90' pen.)
Chol (66'), Okello (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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