Liberia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Liberia
2 - 1
Sao Tome

Kenneh (4'), Farkarlun (32')
Dweh (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Costa (44')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Liberia and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Tunisia
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Sao Tome
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.

Result
LiberiaDrawSao Tome & Principe
74.96% (-0.657 -0.66)18.05% (0.404 0.4)6.99% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 30.89% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.645 -0.64)55.48% (0.644 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.531 -0.53)76.67% (0.53 0.53)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.393 -0.39)13.31% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (-0.794 -0.79)40.15% (0.791 0.79)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.63% (0.312 0.31)64.36% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.27% (0.135 0.14)92.72% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 74.95%
    Sao Tome & Principe 6.99%
    Draw 18.05%
LiberiaDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 17.42% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
1-0 @ 17.27% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 11.71% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.9% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 74.95%
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.211 0.21)
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.05%
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 1.68% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 6.99%

How you voted: Liberia vs Sao Tome

Liberia
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Sao Tome
0-1
Liberia

Silva (44'), R (45'), Silva (89')
Sesay (90')
Dweh (62')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
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15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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