Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Liberia

Salvador (34' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ernest (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Monday, September 9 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 0-3 Algeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Liberia
44.76% ( -0.08)	27.62% ( 0.03)	27.62% ( 0.05)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Liberia
1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.62%