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Equatorial Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Eq Guinea
2 - 0
Sao Tome

Nsue (14'), Salvador (17')
Obiang (32'), Ndong (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lumungo Afonso (36')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 3-0 Eq Guinea
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 4.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawSao Tome & Principe
82.82% (-0.012 -0.01)13.04% (0.014999999999999 0.01)4.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 28.42% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.1% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)69.34% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.11% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)8.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)30.42% (0.055 0.05)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.19% (-0.058 -0.06)68.81% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.47% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)94.53% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 82.8%
    Sao Tome & Principe 4.14%
    Draw 13.04%
Equatorial GuineaDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 17.91% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 14.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 14.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 82.8%
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.021 0.02)
1-1 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 13.04%
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 4.14%