Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Mustapha Tchaker

Algeria
5 - 1
Liberia

Mandi (20'), Mahrez (29'), Bounedjah (64'), Gouiri (74'), El Amine Amoura (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dweh (6')
Koulibaly (21'), Sesay (45'), Roosevelt Teah (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Algeria
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 1-0 Togo
Wednesday, November 13 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 7.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.99%) and 1-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Liberia
77.07% ( 0.74)	15.02% ( -0.56)	7.91% ( -0.18)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Algeria	Draw	Liberia
2-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 10.99% 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.25) 5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.92% Total : 77.05%	1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.02%	0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.72% Total : 7.91%