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World Cup

Central African Republic national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal
Mali national football team

CAR
0 - 0
Mali


Oualengbe Bisse (12'), Romeo Namgbema (81'), Mafouta (90+3')
FT
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Central African Republic and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 1-4 Madagascar
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mali

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 0-3 Mali
Thursday, March 20 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Central African RepublicDrawMali
22.07% (-0.122 -0.12)27.42% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)50.51% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 42.19% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)61.74% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)81.54% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.04% (-0.108 -0.11)43.96% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (-0.09 -0.09)80.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.085000000000008 0.09)24.71% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (0.122 0.12)59.26% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 22.07%
    Mali 50.5%
    Draw 27.42%
Central African RepublicDrawMali
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.07%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 15.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 50.5%

How you voted: CAR vs Mali

Central African Republic
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Mali
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Mali
1-1
CAR
Doumbia (76')
Kondogbia (79')
Pirioua (40'), Youfeigane (66')
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