World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade de Moroni
Comoros0 - 3Mali
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Comoros and Mali.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Mali 6-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.39%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Mali |
| 18.78% | 27.67% ( 0) | 53.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 37.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
