MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 06:08:56| >> :120:50648:50648:
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World Cup
Chad national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Municipal
Comoros national football team

Chad
0 - 2
Comoros


Ndonane (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maolida (59'), Fardou Ben (76')
Mohamed (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Chad and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: CAR 1-0 Chad
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Comoros

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Comoros
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Chad 1-2 Comoros

 Chad have been found wanting at both ends of the pitch across their three qualifiers, and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here despite playing on home turf. We are backing Comoros to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
ChadDrawComoros
25.32% (-0.174 -0.17) 28.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 45.74% (0.23 0.23)
Both teams to score 41.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.7% (0.077000000000005 0.08)64.29% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.61% (0.056000000000001 0.06)83.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72% (-0.116 -0.12)42.28% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)78.67% (0.098000000000013 0.1)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.16 0.16)28.26% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.2 0.2)63.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Chad 25.31%
    Comoros 45.74%
    Draw 28.92%
ChadDrawComoros
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 25.31%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 15.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.02% (0.041999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.74%

How you voted: Chad vs Comoros

Chad
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Comoros
62.5%
16
rhs 2.0
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