World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel
2 - 4
Norway

Abu Fani (55'), Turgeman (90+3')
Nachmias (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moller Wolfe (39'), Sorloth (59'), Ajer (65'), Haaland (83')
Heggem (31'), Sorloth (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Israel and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	6	13
2	Italy	6	5	13
3	Belgium	6	-3	4
4	Israel	6	-8	4

Norway

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Israel win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Norway
25.5% ( -0.68)	22.62% ( -0)	51.88% ( 0.67)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Israel	Draw	Norway
2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.5%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.88%