World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Moldova
0 - 5
Norway

Rata (78')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Ryerson (5'), Haaland (23'), Aasgaard (38'), Sorloth (43'), Donnum (69')
Ajer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Moldova and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Norway

All competitions

Last Game: Norway 5-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Norway
35.71% ( 1.64)	26.59% ( 0.14)	37.7% ( -1.78)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Moldova	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.69%