Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Mali

Nogueira (31')

Doucoure (76'), Diaby (84'), Diakite (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.08%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.65%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mali
12.16% ( -0.01)	24.22% ( 0.01)	63.62% ( 0)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.16%	0-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 18.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 15.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 63.61%