Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau

Bilal Toure (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Encada (29'), Balde (64'), Nogueira (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mali and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
Mali	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
55.24% ( -0.52)	24.88% ( 0.2)	19.88% ( 0.31)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Mali	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.23%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.88%