Friendlies 3
Jan 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Mali6 - 2Guinea-Bissau
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mali and Guinea-Bissau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 1-1 CAR
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Djibouti 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Monday, November 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, November 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.5%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
67.64% ( 0.02) | 21.61% ( -0.02) | 10.75% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 35.48% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
