Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals

Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Ukraine

Matviyenko (56' og.)
Kolasinac (9'), Gazibegovic (26'), Ahmedhodzic (79'), Kovacevic (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yaremchuk (85'), Dovbyk (88')
Matviyenko (16'), Konoplya (58'), Yaremchuk (90+1'), Lunin (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Slovakia
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Ukraine

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Italy
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	8	18	20
2	Italy	8	7	14
3	Ukraine	8	3	14
4	North Macedonia	8	-10	8
5	Malta	8	-18	0

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-2 Ukraine

A tight affair which could be forced beyond the 90 minutes is a possibility on Thursday, although none of Bosnia's last 12 home matches have ended in a draw, while Ukraine have drawn just one of their last 13 games on the road. Ukraine arguably boast the stronger squad, on paper, with Rebrov able to call upon a number of Premier League stars, and considering that they showed signs of promise in recent draws with Italy, Germany and England, they should find a way to come out on top against Bosnia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ukraine in this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Ukraine
42.34% ( -0.52)	25.18% ( 0.2)	32.47% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 56.22% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.8)

47.26% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

-0.75)

69.49% (

0.75)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.59)

22.26% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28% (

-0.89)

55.71% (

0.89)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.19)

27.68% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.25)

63.23% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 42.34%

Ukraine 32.47%

Draw 25.18%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.34%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.47%