World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Burkina Faso1 - 1Guinea-Bissau
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritania 1-2 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Burkina Faso 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
With Egypt clearly favourites to win Group A and automatically qualify for the World Cup as a result, these two nations will be desperate to start positively as they look to cause an upset by finishing above the Pharaohs. Guinea-Bissau are a very organised team who have improved in recent years, but scoring goals is often an issue for them, so we expect Burkina Faso's attacking firepower to help them record a narrow victory on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
45.67% ( -0.26) | 29.96% ( -0.22) | 24.37% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 38.39% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
