World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Olympique de Nouakchott
Mauritania0 - 2Congo DR
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Mauritania and Congo DR.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Togo 2-2 Mauritania
Saturday, March 22 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Saturday, March 22 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 37.5%. A draw had a probability of 33.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 1-2 (6.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.06%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (13.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Congo DR |
29.39% ( -0.02) | 33.11% ( -0.1) | 37.5% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 34.21% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
