Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
1 - 1
Mauritania

Baruti (18')
Sesinyi (28'), Johnson (53'), Velaphi (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koita (7')
Bouna Amar (17'), Hacen Houeibib (77'), Abeid (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Egypt
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Mauritania
37.11% ( -0.13)	29.48% ( -0.05)	33.41% ( 0.18)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Botswana	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.1%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.47%	0-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.4%