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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Vale Park
Barrow

Port Vale
0 - 1
Barrow

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jackson (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Barrow

On the back of edging out Doncaster last time out, Port Vale are on a high, a rarity after recent matches. However, we feel that they may struggle to get over the line here, leading us to back a low-scoring draw with a Barrow outfit who ideally require three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBarrow
45.61% (0.512 0.51) 27.73% (-0.268 -0.27) 26.66% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 45.41% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (0.778 0.78)59.73% (-0.774 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.593 0.59)80.03% (-0.589 -0.59)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.621 0.62)26.17% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.824 0.82)61.25% (-0.82100000000001 -0.82)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.227 0.23)38.5% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (0.217 0.22)75.24% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 45.61%
    Barrow 26.66%
    Draw 27.72%
Port ValeDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.5% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Barrow

Port Vale
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Barrow
11.1%
36
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Barrow
4-0
Port Vale
Garner (54'), Acauah (79'), Spence (81'), Telford (90+5')

Byers (66'), Croasdale (90+8')
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Barrow
3-2
Port Vale
Garner (1'), Acauah (70'), Jackson (76')
Campbell (41'), Jackson (49')
Paton (26'), Sang (66')
Plant (48')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Barrow
1-2
Port Vale
Kay (24')
Canavan (13'), Farman (45')
Proctor (59'), Martin (89')
Hall (40'), Walker (63')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Port Vale
3-1
Barrow
Politic (51'), Jones (56' og.), Benning (85')
Banks (33')
Banks (43')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Barrow
0-2
Port Vale

Barry (7'), Beadling (59'), Ntlhe (88')
Conlon (30', 76')
Brisley (7'), Montano (8'), Guthrie (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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