Sporting Lisbon

2 - 0

Guimaraes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.