Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
41
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Benfica
One record will have to give way — either Vitoria's five-game home clean sheet run in the Primeira Liga or Benfica's 13-match scoring streak in the competition. That said, Guimaraes is never an easy place to visit, as title-chasing sides like Sporting have already discovered, which makes this a far-from-routine test for the Reds, who may just edge it by the slimmest of margins after recently coming through a difficult away clash in Porto. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
22.75% ( -0.57) | 23.55% ( -0.14) | 53.71% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
