Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
21.48% (![]() | 24.9% (![]() | 53.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.45% (![]() | 53.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% (![]() | 75.06% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.15% (![]() | 39.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% (![]() | 76.51% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% (![]() | 19.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% (![]() | 52.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.48% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 12.81% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.33% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |