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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 2, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 1
Belgrano

Gamba (38')
Martinez (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandez (1')
Hernandes (81')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Union
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, April 26 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawBelgrano
51.02% (-0.181 -0.18) 27.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 21.39% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 41.07% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.21% (0.15 0.15)62.79% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.69% (0.109 0.11)82.31% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)59.58% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (0.283 0.28)45.28% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (0.223 0.22)81.16% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Union 51.02%
    Belgrano 21.39%
    Draw 27.58%
UnionDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 15.68% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.39%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 10
Belgrano
1-1
Union
Suarez (90+4')
Longo (35'), Cardozo (90+2')
Balboa (46')
Pardo (7'), Balboa (38'), Paz (90+2'), Troilo (90+2'), Tanda (90')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Union
1-2
Belgrano
Pitton (27')
Vera (44'), Corvalan (45'), Tanda (76'), Torren (85'), Cardozo (87')
Jara (3', 24')
Reyna (8'), Moreno (34'), Meriano (75')
Nov 12, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 13
Belgrano
4-1
Union
Passerini (63', 89'), Barinaga (70'), Jara (85')
Mino (12'), Barinaga (46')
Pardo (65')
Mosqueira (19'), Paz (39')
Mosqueira (51')
Apr 8, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 10
Union
0-3
Belgrano
Zapelli (40'), Garcia (45+4'), Vegetti (90+3' pen.)
Jan 27, 2019 8.10pm
Gameweek 16
Belgrano
0-0
Union
Novillo (47'), Almeida (54'), Lertora (62'), Mendoza (64')
Martinez (29'), Gomez Andrade (69')
rhs 2.0
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