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CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Azteca
Tigres

Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Tigres

Sepulveda (82' pen.)
Faravelli (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aquino (19'), Cordova (30'), Ibanez (55'), Gorriaran (85'), Vigon (85')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Cruz Azul and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawTigres
58.05% (0.63800000000001 0.64) 22.81% (-0.252 -0.25) 19.13% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.87% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.515 0.52)48.14% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.47 0.47)70.3% (-0.468 -0.47)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (0.40299999999999 0.4)16.29% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15% (0.723 0.72)45.85% (-0.722 -0.72)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.124 -0.12)39.23% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.118 -0.12)75.94% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 58.05%
    Tigres 19.13%
    Draw 22.81%
Cruz AzulDrawTigres
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 58.05%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 19.13%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 3am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Tigres
1-1
Cruz Azul
Sanchez (84')
Sanchez (3')
Rotondi (68')
Sepulveda (13'), Rivero (35'), Rivero (35')
Feb 16, 2025 1am
Gameweek 7
Tigres
2-1
Cruz Azul
Lainez (47'), Joaquim (53')
Garcia (26'), Joaquim (45+3'), Aquino (55'), (90+7'), Guzman (90+7')
Ibanez (65')
Rivero (90+8')
Giakoumakis (41'), Lira (79'), Faravelli (79'), Rodriguez (80')
Nov 10, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 17
Cruz Azul
1-1
Tigres
Sepulveda (90+8')
Romo (2'), Rodriguez (45+1'), Sepulveda (90+9'), Sepulveda (90+9')
Ibanez (88' pen.)
Sanchez (90+5')
Feb 18, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 7
Cruz Azul
1-0
Tigres
Reyes (83' og.)
Ditta (90+1'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Ditta (90+4')

Sanchez (75'), Gignac (77'), Herrera (80'), Guzman (88')
Tercero (90+3')
Oct 22, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 13
Tigres
2-1
Cruz Azul
Gignac (61'), Carioca (90+6')
Lainez (23'), Angulo (38'), Gignac (40')
Uriel (45+3')
Salcedo (82'), Cambindo (86'), Guerrero (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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