Cruz Azul5 - 0Vancouver
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 19 at 2.15am in Liga MX
for
Thursday, May 29 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
for
We said: Cruz Azul 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Cruz Azul have yet to lose a competitive match at home this year, and they have never lost to a Canadian side in Mexico City. For as resilient and consistent as the Caps have been all season, this could be the match where they falter minus that spark of Berhalter, while the altitude will make it difficult for them to press effectively. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
54.74% ( 0.02) | 23.69% ( -0) | 21.56% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
