MX23RW : Wednesday, June 4 08:34:53| >> :60:3219:3219:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Spain national football team
Nations League | Semi-Finals
Jun 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
France national football team

Spain
vs.
France

Coverage of the Nations League Semi-Finals clash between Spain and France.

The Match

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for their UEFA Nations League semi-final against Portugal in Munich on Wednesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Italy
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Germany vs. Portugal
Wednesday, June 4 at 8pm in Nations League

Portugal

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Denmark
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Germany vs. Portugal
Wednesday, June 4 at 8pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw has a probability of 24.3% and a win for Portugal has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Portugal win it is 0-1 (6.9%).

Result
SpainDrawFrance
52.82%24.28%22.9%
Both teams to score 51.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25%18.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86%50.13%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73%36.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94%73.05%
Score Analysis
    Spain 52.82%
    France 22.9%
    Draw 24.27%
SpainDrawFrance
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 9.53%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.9%
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.9%

Who will win Wednesday's Nations League clash between Germany and Portugal?

Germany
Draw
Portugal
Germany
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Portugal
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2025
8pm
Semi-Finals
Germany  
G
vs.
P
   Portugal
Jun 19, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Portugal
2-4
Germany
Ronaldo (15'), Jota (67')
Dias (35' og.), Guerreiro (39' og.), Havertz (51'), Gosens (60')
Havertz (66'), Ginter (77')
> Match Report
Jun 16, 2014 5pm
Group Stage
Germany
4-0
Portugal
Muller (12' pen., 45+1', 78'), Hummels (32')

Pereira (11')
Pepe (37')
> Match Report
Jun 9, 2012 7.45pm
Group Stage
Germany
1-0
Portugal
rhs 2.0
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