UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Netherlands national football team

Germany
1 - 0
Netherlands

Leweling (2', 64')
Rudiger (63'), Schlotterbeck (90+3'), Anton (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reijnders (30'), Wieffer (63'), Simons (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Stuttgart attacker Jamie Leweling scores on his international debut to fire Germany to a narrow 1-0 victory over the Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Germany and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up in their clash with rivals Germany in the UEFA Nations League on Monday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Germany
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Netherlands
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawNetherlands
43.27% (-0.778 -0.78)24.8% (0.058 0.06)31.93% (0.718 0.72)
Both teams to score 57.3% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.07% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.342 -0.34)21.19% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.533 -0.53)54.07% (0.532 0.53)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.476 0.48)27.29% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.614 0.61)62.73% (-0.614 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Germany 43.27%
    Netherlands 31.93%
    Draw 24.8%
GermanyDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.115 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Germany vs Netherlands

Germany
72.8%
Draw
16.2%
Netherlands
11.0%
272
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
2-2
Germany
Reijnders (2'), Dumfries (50')
Undav (38'), Kimmich (45+3')
Schlotterbeck (14'), Tah (24'), Raum (32'), Wirtz (86')
> Match Report
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Germany
2-1
Netherlands
Mittelstadt (11'), Fullkrug (85')
Andrich (53'), Kroos (66')
Veerman (4')
Blind (17')
> Match Report
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Netherlands
1-1
Germany
Bergwijn (68')
Depay (29'), de Jong (86')
Muller (45+1')
Raum (83'), Rudiger (89')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Germany
2-4
Netherlands
> Match Report
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
2-3
Germany
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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