The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Championship semi-final between Netherlands and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's Euro 2024 semi-final versus England.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We say: Netherlands 2-1 England (after extra time)
While each game sees a fresh page written, England's history against their Dutch counterparts has been littered with defeats: of all nations they have faced more than 20 times to date, only versus Brazil do they have a lower win-rate (27%). That trend could continue in the Euro 2024 semi-finals, as the Oranje's talented attackers are starting to click and will surely punish another tame Three Lions performance. If they do not improve, Southgate's side might be bound for extra time again - and if their luck finally runs out, they may miss out on a place in the final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for England has a probability of 34.87% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest England win is 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).
Result | ||
Netherlands | Draw | England |
37.83% | 27.3% | 34.87% |
Both teams to score 49.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |