Bosnia H'vina

1 - 2

Germany

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.52%) and 0-1 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.