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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Spain national football team
European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Germany national football team

Spain
vs.
Germany

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash between Spain and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21

Germany

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship

We say: Spain 2-1 Germany (after extra time)

 A tight affair cannot be ruled out on Friday considering that each of their last four meetings between these two nations in major tournaments have produced only six goals (Spain four, Germany two), while no more than two goals have been scored in six of the last seven encounters in all competitions. This 50-50 contest could go either way and few would be surprised to see it go beyond the 90 minutes, but we feel that Spain may just have the edge to sneak through to the semi-finals and bring the curtain down on Germany's home Euros. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany has a probability of 28.79% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win is 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.11%).

Result
SpainDrawGermany
47.32% (-0.572 -0.57) 23.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.79% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.66% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.386 0.39)43.2% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.382 0.38)65.59% (-0.387 -0.39)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)18.43% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.13 -0.13)49.59% (0.124 0.12)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.59999999999999 0.6)28.09% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.756 0.76)63.76% (-0.76199999999999 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Spain 47.32%
    Germany 28.79%
    Draw 23.89%
SpainDrawGermany
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.32%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.79%

Who will win Friday's European Championship clash between England and Switzerland?

Winner Match 39
Draw
Winner Match 37
Winner Match 39
57.0%
Draw
24.8%
Winner Match 37
18.2%
642
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Spain
1-1
Germany
Morata (62')
Fullkrug (83')
> Match Report
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Spain
6-0
Germany
Morata (17'), Torres (33', 55', 71'), Rodri (38'), Oyarzabal (89')

Koch (37'), Tah (67')
> Match Report
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Germany
1-1
Spain
Werner (51')
Gaya (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Spain
P-P
Germany
Mar 23, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
1-1
Spain
Muller (35')
Rodrigo (6')
> Match Report
Build-up
Spain's Lamine Yamal celebrates their second goal on June 30, 2024
Spain lineup vs. Germany: Predicted XI for Euro 2024 quarter-final match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Germany.
Jul 3, 16:21
 Germany's Jonathan Tah pictured on June 23, 2024 [IMAGO]
Germany lineup vs. Spain: Predicted XI for Euro 2024 quarter-final match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Spain.
Jul 3, 16:22
 Germany's Toni Kroos in action on March 26, 2024
Spain attacker says La Roja plan to "retire" Germany's Toni Kroos on Friday
Spain's Joselu hopes that his team will "retire" ex-Real Madrid teammate Toni Kroos in Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final with Germany.
Jul 3, 16:29
 Germany's Toni Kroos before the match on June 23, 2024
Euro 2024: Germany's Toni Kroos praises two Spain stars ahead of quarter-final
Germany midfielder Toni Kroos talks up the qualities of two key Spain players ahead of Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final showdown in Stuttgart.
Jul 4, 12:00
 Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente on June 20, 2024
Euro 2024: Spain boss makes incredibly bold claim ahead of Germany showdown
Spain boss Luis de la Fuente says that La Roja "have the best team and the best players" ahead of Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final with Germany.
18:04
 Germany head coach Julian Nagelsmann reacts on June 23, 2024
Euro 2024: Germany at risk of making unwanted history in Spain clash
Germany are at risk of earning an unwanted slice of Euros history in Friday's quarter-final showdown with Spain at the MHPArena.
10:10
 Kai Havertz celebrates scoring for Germany on June 29, 2024 [IMAGO]
Spain vs. Germany live commentary: Emre Can starts as Germany make two changes
Sports Mole brings you live text coverage of Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final between Spain and Germany at the MHPArena in Stuttgart.
16:30
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
> Preview
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
> Preview
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
> Preview
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
Turkey
> Preview
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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