Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2020

Portugal national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Germany national football team

Portugal
2 - 4
Germany

Ronaldo (15'), Jota (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dias (35' og.), Guerreiro (39' og.), Havertz (51'), Gosens (60')
Havertz (66'), Ginter (77')

The Match

Match Report

Joachim Low's tactics worked perfectly in the 4-2 victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Portugal and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up in Saturday's Euro 2020 clash with Portugal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Portugal had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Portugal win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawGermany
33%26.75%40.25%
Both teams to score 51.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28%53.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.79%75.2%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.75%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 33%
    Germany 40.25%
    Draw 26.75%
PortugalDrawGermany
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: Portugal vs Germany

Portugal
49.8%
Draw
23.0%
Germany
27.2%
1284
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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