Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.18) 
