Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.