Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Cande (60'), Oristanio (68')
Busio (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mandragora (77')
Folorunsho (84'), Dodo (88'), Ranieri (90+3'), Beltran (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Venezia
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Betis
Thursday, May 8 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Fiorentina
23.34% ( 0.1)	24.96% ( 0.07)	51.7% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

-0.21)

51.96% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

-0.18)

73.7% (

0.18)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.85% (

-0.02)

37.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07% (

-0.02)

73.93% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.91% (

-0.16)

20.09% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.66% (

-0.25)

52.33% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Venezia 23.34%

Fiorentina 51.69%

Draw 24.96%

Venezia	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.34%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 51.69%