Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Dovbyk (45+5')
Soule (89'), Pisilli (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndour (64'), Kean (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Roma
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 1 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
52.24% ( 0.66)	24.68% ( -0.15)	23.08% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.77% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9% (

0.13)

51.09% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05% (

0.11)

72.95% (

-0.11)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

0.32)

19.53% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

0.51)

51.43% (

-0.51)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.1% (

-0.4)

36.9% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31% (

-0.4)

73.69% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Roma 52.24%

Fiorentina 23.08%

Draw 24.67%

Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 52.24%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.08%