Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta BC
A recent trend of high-scoring games between these two clubs could continue, as both will be gunning for maximum points. An average of 1.88 goals per match is the highest for Fiorentina in a single season since the 1960s, and with Moise Kean in peak form they should at least take a point from Serie A's second-top scorers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
31.61% ( -0.17) | 26.47% ( 0.19) | 41.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
