MX23RW : Thursday, April 17 07:19:08| >> :120:30038:30038:
Atalanta logo
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Club Brugge

Atalanta
1 - 3
Brugge

Lookman (46')
Kolasinac (11'), Djimsiti (80'), de Roon (87')
Toloi (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Talbi (3', 27'), Jutlga Blanc (45+3')
Onyedika (36'), Tzolis (60'), Nilsson (87'), De Cuyper (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Atalanta BC and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, February 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Club Brugge

Atalanta left Belgium with a sense of injustice after falling to a narrow defeat following a controversial penalty call, but they will now look to channel that disappointment into motivation for Tuesday's return leg, and with home advantage in their favour, we think that they will produce a free-scoring display to turn the tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawClub Brugge
48.46% (1.365 1.37) 23.31% (0.167 0.17) 28.22% (-1.537 -1.54)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-1.714 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (-1.781 -1.78)40.88% (1.777 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (-1.844 -1.84)63.27% (1.841 1.84)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.164 -0.16)17.09% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72% (-0.289 -0.29)47.28% (0.286 0.29)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (-1.92 -1.92)27.3% (1.917 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-2.56 -2.56)62.75% (2.557 2.56)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 48.46%
    Club Brugge 28.22%
    Draw 23.31%
Atalanta BCDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.61 0.61)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.503 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.275 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.369 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Brugge

Atalanta BC
80.2%
Draw
11.7%
Club Brugge
8.0%
162
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2025 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Brugge
2-1
Atalanta
Jutlga Blanc (15'), Nilsson (90+4' pen.)
Pasalic (41')
Hien (90+2'), Cuadrado (90+2'), Toloi (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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