MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 23:39:37| >> :120:8235:8235:
Club Brugge
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 12, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Atalanta logo

Brugge
2 - 1
Atalanta

Jutlga Blanc (15'), Nilsson (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pasalic (41')
Hien (90+2'), Cuadrado (90+2'), Toloi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Club Brugge and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-0 Leuven
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Club Brugge 0-1 Atalanta BC

Although Club Brugge have proven tough to beat for several visitors, Atalanta are an impressive outfit away from home and can shut up shop when needed. The Nerazzurri certainly have sufficient firepower to score at least once, and they should take a slim lead into next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawAtalanta BC
46.74% (0.267 0.27) 24.73% (-0.055 -0.05) 28.53% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (0.122 0.12)47.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (0.113 0.11)69.33% (-0.113 -0.11)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.16500000000001 0.17)20.21% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (0.261 0.26)52.53% (-0.261 -0.26)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)30.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.11 -0.11)66.44% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 46.74%
    Atalanta BC 28.53%
    Draw 24.73%
Club BruggeDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.53%

How you voted: Brugge vs Atalanta

Club Brugge
13.8%
Draw
13.5%
Atalanta BC
72.7%
260
rhs 2.0
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