Champions League header

Champions League

Milan logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Club Brugge

AC Milan
3 - 1
Brugge

Pulisic (34'), Reijnders (61', 71')
Leao (50'), Morata (59'), Gabbia (71'), Camarda (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sabbe (51')
Seys (20'), Jasari (23'), Skoras (73')
Onyedika (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Serie A

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Westerlo 1-2 Brugge
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawClub Brugge
39.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)24.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)36.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.97% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.78% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.19% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.3% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 39.35%
    Club Brugge 36.27%
    Draw 24.38%
AC MilanDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.35%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 36.27%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Brugge

AC Milan
87.2%
Draw
9.0%
Club Brugge
3.8%
368