Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Club Brugge
27.83% ( -0.04)	22.4% ( -0.07)	49.76% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 63.25% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.18% (

0.3)

36.82% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.01% (

0.33)

58.99% (

-0.33)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.13)

25.48% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

0.18)

60.32% (

-0.18)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89% (

0.14)

15.11% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.33% (

0.27)

43.67% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 27.83%

Club Brugge 49.76%

Draw 22.4%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Club Brugge
2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.83%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.1% Total : 49.76%